In May 2024, AEP Ohio opened a proceeding (Docket 24-05058) with the Public Utilities Commission of Ohio, proposing to create two new tariffs designed to help the company accommodate an unprecedented amount of anticipated load growth from an influx of new data centers within its service territory:
These proposed changes stem from a desire to protect existing customers from “bearing the burden of new transmission if new large load customers do not ultimately connect to the system after committing.”
The roster of intervenors in this docket, featuring some of the largest names in the technology industry, as well as key players in retail and manufacturing, furnishes a clue about its importance: Meta, Amazon, Google, Microsoft, Walmart, and Constellation, among others.
The (New) Cost of Doing Business
The existing rider at the heart of this docket is AEP Ohio’s Basic Transmission Cost Rider (BTCR) through which the company currently recovers transmission costs. AEP Ohio asserts the BTCR’s “minimum demand charge,” which is based on 60% of contract capacity, is too low for data centers. For example, under the current BTCR:
With a spread this large between the potential minimum and maximum charges under the existing rider, AEP Ohio wants data centers’ minimum demand to instead be based on 90% of their contract capacity. Using the same data center in the example above, the transmission charge would be based on 450 MW and equal $40.2 million annually. In addition, crypto/mobile data centers would be required to pay minimum demand charges based on 95% of their contract capacity under the proposed tariffs.
Beyond narrowing the range between minimum and maximum demand charges, AEP Ohio also wants data centers to commit to ten-year service contracts. AEP Ohio’s primary concern is that data center projects might be cancelled or use significantly less power than planned. This is problematic because, to serve the anticipated load at new data centers, AEP Ohio will need to spend billions of dollars over the next seven to ten years to plan, design, site, and construct extra-high-voltage transmission lines.
Data centers would also have a collateral requirement unlike other industrial customers: they would need to have A- or A3 (or higher) credit ratings from S&P and Moody’s, respectively, and cash equivalent to ten times the collateral requirement. Otherwise, they would need to provide a guarantee equal to 50% of the customer’s minimum charges for the full term of the contract.
In the above example, a 500 MW data center would pay ~$402 million in demand charges over ten years. This means it would need $201 million in collateral if it didn’t have both the minimum credit rating and ~$4 billion in cash. Therefore, the idea is to protect AEP Ohio against a data center’s later insolvency.
In short, AEP Ohio seeks to lessen the risk that the forecasted load growth shown in Figure 1 “may not show up at the level and time indicated or that transmission facilities will be overbuilt to serve the actual load that develops.”
Figure 1: Central Ohio Data Center Load Growth
Source: AEP Ohio
The Intervenors Respond
Intervenor comments, all of which AEP Ohio contested in July reply comments, all expressed concerns about undue harm. Specific objections included:
Conclusion
As evidenced by this docket, the U.S. is at a critical moment in grid-planning and management. Precedents are being set and strategies formed for how to accommodate the influx of data center load. The outcome of this proceeding will likely provide some early insight into the thinking of regulatory bodies as they seek to effectively manage the unprecedented and highly uncertain load growth associated with data center expansion, an issue currently facing many regions of the country.
FactSet currently provides coverage of rate design and cost of service rider issues through its Differentiated Ratemaking Report. This semi-annual report provides a detailed look at differentiated ratemaking mechanisms, like the rider at the heart of this docket, in each jurisdiction in the United States. For all jurisdictions, capital investment mechanisms are categorized along the lines of the utility value chain and listed by primary emphasis: generation, transmission, and/or distribution. In doing so, the Differentiated Ratemaking Report eases the shareholder’s task in finding riders that promote or otherwise account for capital investment.
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