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Ex-Apple, S&P 500 Tech Sector Expected to Report a Decline in Earnings for Q3

Earnings

By John Butters  |  October 26, 2015

Apple will be a focus company for the market this week, as the company is scheduled to report earnings for the calendar third quarter (fiscal fourth quarter for Apple) on October 27. The current mean EPS estimate for the company for Q3 2015 is $1.87, compared to year-ago actual EPS of $1.42.

Apple is expected to be the largest contributor to earnings growth for the Information Technology sector for Q3 2015. The blended earnings growth rate (combines actual results for companies that have reported and estimated results for companies yet to report) for the Information Technology sector is 2.1%. Excluding Apple, the sector would report a year-over-year decline in earnings of 3.0%.

If Apple reports actual EPS equal to or above the mean EPS estimate, this will mark the 5th consecutive quarter that Apple has been the largest contributor to earnings growth for the Information Technology sector.

What is driving Apple's substantial contribution to earnings growth for the Information Technology sector in recent quarters?

The iPhone product segment has reported revenue growth in excess of 50% in the previous three quarters, and is projected to report revenue growth of 32% in Q3 2015. However, year-over-year comparisons for iPhone sales become more challenging starting in Q4 2015. Thus, Apple is not predicted to be a significant contributor to the expected earnings growth for the Information Technology sector for the first two quarters of 2016.

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John Butters

Vice President, Senior Earnings Analyst

Mr. John Butters is Vice President and Senior Earnings Analyst at FactSet. His weekly research report, “Earnings Insight,” provides analysis and commentary on trends in corporate earnings data for the S&P 500 including revisions to estimates, year-over-year growth, performance relative to expectations, and valuations. He is a widely used source for the media and has appeared on CNBC, Fox Business News, and the Business News Network. In addition, he has been cited by numerous print and online publications such as The Wall Street Journal, The Financial Times, The New York Times, MarketWatch, and Yahoo! Finance. Mr. Butters has over 15 years of experience in the financial services industry. Prior to FactSet in January 2011, he worked for more than 10 years at Thomson Reuters (Thomson Financial), most recently as Director of U.S. Earnings Research (2007-2010).

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