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S&P 500 Earnings Season Update: October 27

Earnings

By John Butters  |  October 27, 2017

To date, 55% of the companies in the S&P 500 have reported actual results for Q3 2017. In terms of earnings, more companies (76%) are reporting actual EPS above estimates compared to the 5-year average. In aggregate, companies are reporting earnings that are 4.7% above the estimates, which is also above the 5-year average. In terms of sales, more companies (67%) are reporting actual sales above estimates compared to the 5-year average. In aggregate, companies are reporting sales that are 1.5% above estimates, which is also above the 5-year average.

SP500 Earnings Scorecard October 27 2017.png

The blended (combines actual results for companies that have reported and estimated results for companies that have yet to report) earnings growth rate for the third quarter is 4.7% today, which is higher than the earnings growth rate of 1.7% last week. Upside earnings surprises reported by companies in multiple sectors (led by the Information Technology sector) were responsible for the increase in the earnings growth rate for the index during the past week. Overall, six sectors are reporting earnings growth, led by the Energy and Information Technology sectors. Five sectors are reporting a year-over-year decline in earnings, led by the Financials sector.

SP500 Earnings Growth Q3 2017.png

The blended sales growth rate for the third quarter is 5.7% today, which is higher than the sales growth rate of 5.1% last week. Upside sales surprises reported by companies in in multiple sectors (led by the Consumer Discretionary and Energy sectors) were responsible for the increase in the sales growth rate for the index during the past week. Overall, ten sectors are reporting year-over-year growth in revenues, led by the Energy, Materials, and Information Technology sectors. The only sector reporting a year-over-year decline in revenues is the Telecom Services sector.

During the upcoming week, 135 S&P 500 companies (including three Dow 30 components) are scheduled to report results for the third quarter.

For Q4 2017, 29 S&P 500 companies have issued negative EPS guidance and 20 S&P 500 companies have issued positive EPS guidance.

The forward 12-month P/E ratio is 17.9, which is above the 5-year average and the 10-year average.

SPX Change in Forward 12-month EPS vs Change in Price 10 years October 27 2017.png

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John Butters

Vice President, Senior Earnings Analyst

Mr. John Butters is Vice President and Senior Earnings Analyst at FactSet. His weekly research report, “Earnings Insight,” provides analysis and commentary on trends in corporate earnings data for the S&P 500 including revisions to estimates, year-over-year growth, performance relative to expectations, and valuations. He is a widely used source for the media and has appeared on CNBC, Fox Business News, and the Business News Network. In addition, he has been cited by numerous print and online publications such as The Wall Street Journal, The Financial Times, The New York Times, MarketWatch, and Yahoo! Finance. Mr. Butters has over 15 years of experience in the financial services industry. Prior to FactSet in January 2011, he worked for more than 10 years at Thomson Reuters (Thomson Financial), most recently as Director of U.S. Earnings Research (2007-2010).

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